The International Monetary Fund has forecasted that the U.S. economy will contract 2.5 percent before the end of this year but will expand 0.75 percent by the end of 2010, according to analysis of the IMF’s World Economic Outlook report from April (“IMF Raises Forecast for U.S. Economy, Risk of Debt,” Bloomberg, June 15, 2009).

The Federal Reserve, the Obama administration, and Congress were all commended by IMF, the Washington-based lender that has helped rescue the economies of Pakistan and Iceland, for their efforts to salvage the economy with a “well-targeted” stimulus package.

In fact, the report showed that the stimulus package will raise the gross domestic product, the value of goods and services produced in the United States, by 1 percent this year and by 0.25 percent in 2010, pointing to the likelihood of a “gradual” recovery.

Despite the IMF predicting a solid upturn in the economy in the next year, it still sees the U.S. unemployment rate topping 10 percent next year and sees a successful exit plan from the financial rescue programs as essential to the country’s recovery.

“The combination of financial strains and ongoing adjustments in the housing and labor markets is expected to restrain growth for some time, with a solid recovery projected to emerge only in mid-2010,” the staff review of the IMF report stated.

The IMF projects that public debt will nearly double from 2009 to 2011 to 75 percent of the gross domestic product, putting significant pressure on the Treasury bond rates, which are currently low, making it easier for prospective homebuyers to get low mortgage rates.

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Popularity: 9% [?]

Citing the nation’s ballooning unemployment rate, Bank of America has decided against its plan to raise overdraft fees from $35 to $39 (more…)

Popularity: 10% [?]

Consumers are increasingly falling behind on their loan payments, and economists say the problem will only get worse as the recession continues to wipe out jobs at an unrelenting pace (more…)

Popularity: 10% [?]

In order to offset record delinquencies and rising charge-offs, credit card companies are continuing to hike up penalties and, in many cases, double fee amounts for certain cardholders, reports USA Today (“Bank Credit Card Fees Keep Going Up,” March 15, 2009).

By the end of 2008, almost 6 percent of all credit card accounts were at least 30 days late, the highest percentage of delinquent accounts the Federal Reserve has recorded since it began tracking credit card defaults in 1991.

These defaults are forcing card issuers to incur significant expenses both at the time of collection on delinquent accounts and later when the companies have to write off these accounts due to non-payment. To recover a portion of their projected losses before they occur, these companies are choosing to pass the buck to at-risk cardholders through higher fees and penalties.

Consumers may not see relief for penalty rates or for late or missed payments until 2010 when new Federal regulations go into effect that will alter the way credit card companies do business, The Washington Post reports (“Accelerating Debt,” March 22, 2009).

Currently, credit card issuers are getting away with charging an average late-payment penalty rate of almost 27 percent, according to a 2008 survey by advocacy group Consumer Action, and may end up collecting as much as $21 billion from cardholders as a result of these higher penalty fees, estimates Robert Hammer, chairman of the consulting firm R.K. Hammer.

Elevated fees “are a recognition of risk going up,” Hammer says. Financial institutions “are not going to watch their costs go up and take no action.”

Fees Double For Some

Earlier this year, American Express raised its late fees from $29 to $39 for corporate cardholders who were 45 days late on their payments, USA Today reports.

Wells Fargo customers who withdraw funds from their credit cards inside the bank branch have seen their fees double from $10 to $20, and likewise those who withdraw credit card funds from the Wells Fargo ATM have seen their fees double from $5 to $10.

In January, JPMorgan Chase levied a $10-a-month fee on about 400,000 cardholders who had carried a high balance for more than two years and who had made little effort to pay it off. Minimum payment requirements for these customers jumped from 2 percent of their account balance to 5 percent, forcing cardholders to pay more than double what they owe on their accounts each month.

“[Card issuers] have been very much damaged by this economic downturn and tightening of credit and all the losses that their banks have faced,” said Bill Hardekopf, chief executive of LowCards.com, a credit card review site. “If you as a consumer do anything to increase your risk, you will probably very quickly be hit.”

Popularity: 15% [?]

Sen. Bernie Sanders, I-Vt., has a plan to rescue consumers from interest-rate hikes on everything from mortgages to credit cards: He’s proposed a piece of legislation that would force all companies offering consumer loans to cap interest rates at 15 percent, according to The Bennington Banner (“Sanders Seeks Interest Rate Cap,” March 13, 2009).

Currently, credit card companies, based on a 1978 Supreme Court decision, are only required to abide by the interest-rate restrictions enforced in their home state. Many financial services companies have taken advantage of this state-by-state enforcement and established headquarters in South Dakota and Delaware, states that don’t have restrictions on how much interest banks can charge.

Sanders’ bill would overrule that court decision, imposing the 15-percent interest rate cap on credit cards and consumer loans issued in all states, and would limit the fees banks can charge. His plan is modeled after a similar interest rate cap implemented under the Federal Credit Union Act nearly 30 years ago, which was set at 15 percent and later increased to 18 percent in 1987 by the National Credit Union Administration.

“If a rate cap has worked for credit unions all these years, it could work for our friends in the financial industry as well,” Sanders said.

A New Era for Credit Card Rates

Sanders believes his legislation will be met with staunch resistance from banking industry lobbyists, but he says it’s time for financial service companies to end their “culture of greed.”

Credit card companies are taking billions of dollars in taxpayer bailout money, and, in some cases, receiving zero-interest loans from the Federal Reserve, all while ratcheting up fees and interest rates. Citigroup credit card holders, for example, have been told their rates could go as high as 30 percent if they miss a single payment, and JPMorgan Chase customers who have large balances may have to start paying $10 monthly fees.

Sanders says the free-wheeling rate hikes and fees currently implemented by banks is “loan sharking,” and these banking tactics are making it even more difficult for struggling consumers to pay down their debts.

“This is very significant because right now there are millions and millions of people who are paying outrageously high interest rates on their credit cards. We think enough is enough,” Sanders said. “At a time when things are so bad, they need relief in terms of these interest rates.”

Popularity: 7% [?]

A group of U.S. democratic senators introduced legislation on Tuesday that would create a new financial regulatory agency to monitor firms offering financial services to consumers and prevent these firms from using predatory or deceptive business practices. (more…)

Popularity: 10% [?]

Consumers are hurting. Already battered by tightened access to credit, rising unemployment, and unaffordable mortgage payments, consumers are also contending with soaring credit card interest rates and fees. (more…)

Popularity: 6% [?]

The Federal Reserve announced this week that it will use its authority in the $700 billion Troubled Asset Relief Program to begin modifying mortgage loans for struggling homeowners in an effort to slow down the residential home foreclosure rate, Bloomberg reports (”Fed Adopts Policy to Modify Mortgages, Stem Home Foreclosures,” Jan. 27, 2009). (more…)

Popularity: 7% [?]

Consumers’ access to credit could get even tighter as creditors continue to slash consumer credit lines and move to close inactive credit accounts – defensive measures meant to protect banks against the surging number of consumer defaults, reports The Wall Street Journal (”Credit Card Companies Slash Credit Limits,” Jan. 5, 2009). (more…)

Popularity: 11% [?]

In an attempt to increase the availability of credit for homebuying and to reduce borrowing costs, the Federal Reserve has begun buying troubled mortgage-backed securities as part of an initiative the central bank originally announced in November (more…)

Popularity: 6% [?]